Showing posts with label canadian. Show all posts
Showing posts with label canadian. Show all posts

Sunday, April 3, 2011

The Alpha of Canadian Hedge Funds

Meet The Top Dog of the Canadian Hedge Funds

I recently overheard a couple of colleagues chattering about investing in hedge funds and between the technical jargon and comparison gibberish, the only phrase I clearly understood was this:

"If I had 150 thousand bucks, I'd give it to Steve Palmer."

Researching the Markets

After a single quarter of trading, I seem to be at a near break-even point. Having heard horror stories of newbie traders losing 50% or more of their investment dollars in the early days of their trading, I suppose a mere 0.5% earnings profile is not such a bad place to start. Of course I could have earned more working at my regular job, but I see it as an educational  sacrifice that cost far less than any university level course on the markets.

So what did I learn? Other than "keep green on your screen", a favorite Toni Turner sign-off to her twitter updates, I learned that there are good gurus, bad gurus, good funds, bad funds, and that everything is in flux always. I learned there is no sure thing and that psychology plays a major and often under-rated factor in the markets. I learned that technical indicators and Newton's laws of physics also play an often under-rated factor in the way the markets naturally move. I learned I am stupid about these matters and should listen to people with a track record while at the same time executing my own due diligence to confirm that at the very least I agree in principle with the advice.

So what does this have to do with Steve Palmer. Well, everything. Mr. Palmer fulfills the criteria of a good guru and manages a fund that fulfills the criteria for a first class investment. Of course, I would need 150 grand to walk through his Front Street office door, but hey, at least I have a goal.

So Who Is Steven Palmer?

Steven Palmer is a founding partner and Chief Investment Officer of AlphaNorth Asset Management, and runs their Partner Fund. After launching his investment career in 1997, Mr. Palmer became the Vice President of Canadian Equities at a major financial institution and subsequently managed a pooled fund of primarily small cap Canadian companies achieving a first rate ranking and returns of 35.8% over 9 years as compared to 10.0% for S&P/TSX Composite Index and 13.0% for the BMO small cap index.

He has an impressive track record for his young years and seems to make people lots of money, particularly investing in small cap Canadian companies, one of the most volatile, yet potentially most lucrative, investment fields.

Why is AlphaNorth so Attractive?

AlphaNorth Partners Fund is a "long biased hedge fund" launched in December, 2007, focussing on Canadian equity securities and offered to "accredited investors".

Returns Since Inception
(Dec1, 2007 to February 28th, 2011)

                                                            Annualized    Cumulative
AlphaNorth Partners Fund               48.7%            262.9%
TSX Venture Index                           (4.1)%            (12.6%)
TSX Total Return Index                    4.0%               13.7%


Sure the fund dipped low in 2008 with nearly every other fund on the market, but it regained its lofty standing with a vengeance to earn an average annualized return of 48.7% since December, 2007. Big performance, big fund and a big ticket price of $150,000 initial investment. Not for the average Canadian, not for the faint of heart.

The Historical Accredited Investor

Bottom line, you have to have money to make money. And you need to be an "accredited investor" to buy a piece of AlphaNorth. A hedge fund is a high risk investment. And historically, the "accredited investor" class was designed to protect investors and investees against market crashes that could potentially wipe out personal or fund net worth.

Following the 1929 market crash and subsequent great depression, the US Congress intervened to set strict rules in place to in essence, "clean up" the practice of securities investing. Thus the Securities Act of 1933 and subsequent birth of the SEC, led to law that was passed which required companies to provide detailed information to investors so that they could make informed decisions. This Act also defined which investors could invest in certain securities, thereby creating the "accredited investor".

An accredited investor was defined as having "a net worth of at least one million US dollars or having made at least $200,000 each year for the last two years ($300,000 with his or her spouse if married) and have the expectation to make the same amount the following year."
Accredited investors have access to a level of investments such as hedge funds and other potentially high yield funds that the average Canadian unfortunately does not. And in all fairness, the law exists to protect that average Canadian from losing everything they own if a volatile investment such as a hedge fund crashes and burns up their life savings. It also protects the fund from having low risk tolerant investors run away at the first sign of a negative market flux.


Hedging With The Hedge Funds

From Wikipedia: "A hedge fund is a private investment fund which may invest in a diverse range of assets and may employ a variety of investment strategies to maintain a hedged portfolio intended to protect the fund's investors from downturns in the market while maximizing returns on market upswings."

Investors in hedge funds typically pay a management fee that goes toward the operational costs of the fund, and a performance fee when the fund’s annual return is higher than that of the previous year.

Check out Steven Palmer's AlphaNorth Partners Fund here.

Happy Investing

Saturday, March 12, 2011

Taming the ETF Jungle

Are You ETF'd out?
There are so many ETF's out there that I've become dizzy reading prospectuses and delirious trying to design a mix. My initial wish-list consisted of 20 ETF's from various sources, including iShares, Claymore, and BMO with a few cool Horizon's beta choices for playing volatility and shorting downtrends. I realized that from a personal perspective this would be impossible to execute consistently and take far too much time. I wanted to design a core portfolio of ETF's some of which will be dividend producers, others which will be fixed income, and all that consist of good choices when balancing value, quality and health of companies held.
I decided to stray from the usual guru data on iShares ETF's which seem to be the most touted and focus on BMO. In comparing MER's across many of similar iShares and BMO offerings, BMO seemed to beat iShares on most equivalent funds.
Planning to Retire with Titans and Dogs!
The overall goal of this retirement portfolio is to have exposure to quality Canadian, US equity, and International equity from diverse sectors in addition to diverse fixed income sources, dividend sources and some emerging market exposure that would allow easy rebalancing and fit the retirement investment needs of a 40 something with about 20 years left to retirement.
Titans Meet Dogs Meet Income
Here is the gist of the portfolio:
ZCN: BMO Dow Jones Canada Titans 60 Index ETF 25%
ZDJ: BMO Dow Jones Industrial Average Hedged to CAD Index ETF 25%
ZGI: BMO Global Infrastructure Index ETF 25%
ZMI: BMO Monthly Income ETF 25%
ZCN: BMO Dow Jones Canada Titans 60 Index ETF: Portfolio Strategy: BMO Dow Jones Canada Titans 60 Index ETF has been designed to replicate, to the extent possible, the performance of the Dow Jones Canada Titans 60 Index, net of expenses. The Fund invests in and holds the Constituent Securities of the Index in the same proportion as they are reflected in the Index.
Top Holdings:
Royal Bank of Canada    
Toronto-Dominion Bank              
Suncor Energy Inc.          
Bank of Nova Scotia       
Cdn Natural Resources Ltd          
Barrick Gold Corp.           
Potash Corp of Saskatchewan
Goldcorp Inc.    
Bank of Montreal            
Canadian National Railway          
Performance: One year:  MV/NAV   21.71%/22.18%    MER   0.15%
Sector exposure:  financials, energy, materials, industrials, telecommunications, consumer discretionary, information technology, consumer staples, utilities
Geographic: Canada

ZDJ: BMO Dow Jones Industrial Average Hedged to CAD Index ETF: Portfolio Strategy: The BMO Dow Jones Industrial Average Hedged to CAD Index ETF has been designed to replicate, to the extent possible, the performance of the Dow Jones Industrial Average (CAD hedged), net of expenses. The Fund invests in and holds the Constituent Securities of the Index in the same proportion as they are reflected in the Index. The U.S. dollar currency exposure is hedged back to the Canadian dollar.
Top Holdings
IBM Corp.
Chevron Corporation
Caterpillar Inc
3M Company
Exxon Mobil Corp
United Technologies Corp
McDonald's Corp
Boeing Company
Coca-Cola Company
Procter & Gamble Company
Performance: MV/NAV 1 year 18.55%/19.33% MER 0.23%
Sector Exposure:  industrials, information technology, consumer staples, energy, financials, consumer discretionary, health care, materials, telecommunications
Geographic: US

ZGI: BMO Global Infrastructure Index ETF:Portfolio Strategy: BMO Global Infrastructure Index ETF has been designed to replicate, to the extent possible, the performance of the Dow Jones Brookfield Global Infrastructure Index, net of expenses. The Fund invests in and holds the Constituent Securities of the Index in the same proportion as they are reflected in the Index. The Manager may also use a sampling methodology in selecting investments for the Fund.
Top Holdings:
Hutchison Whampoa Usp ADR
National Grid plc ADR
TransCanada Corp
American Tower Corp
Enbridge Inc
Gpo Aeroportr Pafco ADR
Spectra Energy Corp
Keppel Corp Ltd, ADR
Consolidated Edison Inc
Sempra Energy
Performance: One year MV/NAV 18.66%/18.68% MER 0.55%
Sector exposure: utilities, industrials, energy, telecommunications
Geographic: US, Canada, Hong Kong, Brazil, Mexico, Singapore, UK, Netherlands, Greece

ZMI: BMO Monthly Income ETF: Portfolio Strategy: BMO Monthly Income ETF has been designed to deliver the performance of the underlying basket of higher yielding BMO ETFs. ETFs are selected by having a higher yield than either the equity market represented by the BMO Dow Jones Canada Titans 60 Index ETF (ZCN) or the fixed income market represented by the BMO Aggregate Bond Index ETF (ZAG). The holdings are weighted by yield, with 50 percent investment in each of equity and fixed income and a cap of 20 percent for each security with a range of 6 to 10 ETFs. The ETF is rebalanced quarterly and reconstituted semi-annually in June and December. In addition, as ZMI is a fund of fund, the management fees charged are reduced by those accrued in the underlying funds.
Holdings:
BMO Eq Wgt REITS ETF
BMO High Yield US ETF
BMO Eq Wgt Utilities ETF
BMO Emerg Mkt Bond ETF
BMO Cvd Call Cdn Bank ETF
BMO Mid Corp Bond ETF
BMO Long Corp Bond ETF
BMO Equal Wgt Banks ETF
BMO Short Corp Bond ETF
BMO Eq Wgt Oil & Gas ETF
Sector exposure: financials, corporate bonds, high yield bonds, utilities, emerging market bonds, energy
Geographic: Canada, US, emerging markets
No performance data available yet. MER: 0.55%

ZCM       25%
ZDJ         25%
ZGI         25%
ZMI        25%
Disclosure. I don't yet own these ETF's. Fifty percent of my savings is directed towards a sleepy portfolio such as this. Currently I have investments in TD-e series funds including the Canadian Index, US Dow Jones Industrial Index, International Index and Canadian Bond Index. Yawn!
Happy Investing!

Monday, February 28, 2011

Invest in Canada- eh?!

And it's confirmed yet again, Canada is the best place on earth. OK, so we don't have a tropical beach and income tax rates are somewhat daunting, but a new report from CIBC World Markets rates our companies as the place to grow your investment loot.

"Canadian stocks are likely to produce the best returns in light of what looks to be a longer-term bear market in bonds, and ongoing fiscal belt tightening in the U.S. and Europe," says John Smuel of the Financial Post FP Trading Desk this week.

Energy and gold shares, less inflation threat and a strong corporate Canada are what make Canada look like a safe place to stash your dough compared to the emerging markets and even the U.S. equity market.

Corporate Canada meanwhile continues to show signs of strength as well. CIBC’s new Leading Indicator of TSX Earnings (LITXE) shows that there remains room for further profits from Canada’s companies, even given the impressive performances seen in the past few quarters.

Senior economist at CIBC, Peter Buchanan, is reported as saying that "While (Canadian) stocks are by no means as cheap as earlier, above-trend earnings growth should continue to provide the market with some support”.

Canadian Venture Exchange: A Honey Pot for Savy Investors

In perusing the various internet resources for where, when and how to invest in stocks, the Canadian Venture Exchange aways seems to play in the top stock picks across nearly all sectors. These small companies have the tendency to make big jumps in stock prices in short periods of time when the stars are aligned in their favor. Of course some of smaller company stocks can just as quickly fall as they rise, but overall, the CVE is a unique breeding ground for these micro and small cap ventures.

My first experience in investing was a short term swing trade with Intertainment Media (INT on the Canadian Venture Exchange)--this is a little internet company with a big product called Ortsbo that translates social chat and networking sites like Facebook and others in real time as an embedded add-on. See it here. Their subscribership has ballooned over the last few months affording Intertainment the opportunity to compare their astronomical growth to the starting days of Facebook subscription. Sure, they will get swallowed up by some larger google-eyed mongol, but in the meantime, their little stock went from 16 cents to over 90 cents in a matter of days. Sliding back to around half this gain of late as some investors took their profits and ran, Ortsbo is still churning out user numbers that make this little tech play an attractive purchase.

And INT is not alone. There are hundreds of small penny stock mining ventures spiking, ready to spike or having already lit up the sky with a firework display of huge gains in this current bullish market.

Canadian Equities Lead the World in Long Term Performance

Overall, Canadian equity portfolios have outperformed US portfolios of similar diversity. Doityourselfinginvesting.ca reports their performance of Canadian Equities vs US Equities which shows 2.5% higher growth in the last 12 months and 144.3% higher growth over 3 years. Of course the equities are not identical, but the comparison is interesting. Taking a look at index funds, the TD Canadian Index e fund reports 6.02% performance over 10 years compared with a -3.26% performance over 10 years for the comparable TD US Index e fund. Japan's TD e series index fund produced -3.37% over 10 years and the International Index TD e series fund produced -0.66%. Hmmm. OK, so over the last 10 years, lots has happened and maybe we forgot a couple wars, flash crashes and pitfalls along the way. What about the simple 1 year bullish market post-recession recovery months that are still fresh in all of our memories. Here is the 12 month performance stats for these funds:

TD Canadian Index - e: 25.06%
TD US Index - e: 13.66%
TD International Index - e: 8.43%
TD European Index - e: 8.01%
TD Japanese Index - e: 5.61%
And the winner is...CANADA!

So what do we do with this information? It's simple--invite the world to invest in Canada. The best country on earth for so many reasons--except the tropical beaches...but you can always visit West Edmonton Mall and go surfing!

Happy Investing

Disclosure: the author owns shares of the TD e-series index funds: for Canada, US and Europe. The author currently does not own INT.V...but wants to.